← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.58+1.96vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.45+1.35vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.44+2.68vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University-0.25+3.45vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College0.44+0.45vs Predicted
-
6Florida Institute of Technology0.01+0.62vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida-0.17+0.22vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida-1.84+0.63vs Predicted
-
9University of Florida-0.99+0.52vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College-0.45-2.15vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida-0.20-3.57vs Predicted
-
12Florida Institute of Technology-2.18+0.16vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-1.54-2.10vs Predicted
-
14Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96Jacksonville University1.5827.4%1st Place
-
3.35University of South Florida1.4522.9%1st Place
-
5.68Jacksonville University0.448.0%1st Place
-
7.45Florida State University-0.254.6%1st Place
-
5.45Eckerd College0.448.9%1st Place
-
6.62Florida Institute of Technology0.016.2%1st Place
-
7.22University of South Florida-0.174.8%1st Place
-
8.63University of Florida-1.842.5%1st Place
-
9.52University of Florida-0.992.4%1st Place
-
7.85Rollins College-0.454.2%1st Place
-
7.43University of Central Florida-0.204.0%1st Place
-
12.16Florida Institute of Technology-2.181.1%1st Place
-
10.9Embry-Riddle University-1.541.4%1st Place
-
9.79Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 27.4% | 22.9% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 22.9% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Connell | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Carter Morin | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Annette Breton | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Marco Distel | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Dan Borras-Quintero | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 7.3% |
| Zi Burns | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Golino | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 50.3% |
| Carter Speh | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 21.6% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.