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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.44+4.52vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.01+4.47vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58-0.15vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.44+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.45-1.84vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.25+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.17-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-1.84+0.30vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.45-1.36vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-2.18+1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-0.99-1.99vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.20-4.89vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.54-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Jacksonville University0.447.8%1st Place
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6.47Florida Institute of Technology0.016.5%1st Place
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2.85Jacksonville University1.5828.9%1st Place
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5.24Eckerd College0.448.8%1st Place
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3.16University of South Florida1.4524.2%1st Place
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7.16Florida State University-0.254.5%1st Place
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6.94University of South Florida-0.174.8%1st Place
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8.3University of Florida-1.842.8%1st Place
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7.64Rollins College-0.453.3%1st Place
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11.41Florida Institute of Technology-2.180.4%1st Place
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9.01University of Florida-0.991.9%1st Place
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7.11University of Central Florida-0.204.9%1st Place
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10.2Embry-Riddle University-1.541.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Barney | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Keegan Mackinnon | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
Cole Schweda | 28.9% | 22.1% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Carter Morin | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Zachariah Schemel | 24.2% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lauren Connell | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
Annette Breton | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
Marco Distel | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
Zi Burns | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
Nicholas Golino | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 52.0% |
Dan Borras-Quintero | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 9.8% |
Charlie Eckert | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
Carter Speh | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 25.6% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.