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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.67+3.12vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+7.05vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+1.82vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.65+2.33vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.14+3.49vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-2.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.83-1.20vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.27+0.03vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.80+3.70vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-4.61vs Predicted
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12William and Mary2.13+0.80vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.55-1.48vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.73-3.03vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.74vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.81-2.22vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Georgetown University4.670.2%1st Place
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6.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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5.82SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.33Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Virginia3.140.0%1st Place
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4.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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9.03Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.7Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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6.39Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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12.8William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
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11.52Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.97Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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13.78Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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10.79Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Aras | 19.7% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Edward Stokes | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Blouin | 14.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Philip Alley | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Sayre | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 26.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Clark | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 17.9% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Samantha Gebb | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 27.5% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.