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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.99+8.04vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.36vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+5.25vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42-0.40vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.49+6.19vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.30-2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.05+2.92vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-1.85vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.54+2.09vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.44-1.91vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-3.30vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52+0.11vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.52-1.89vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.71-7.10vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-2.24vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.34-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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6.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.0%1st Place
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8.25Brown University1.334.1%1st Place
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3.6Yale University2.4221.9%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University0.491.8%1st Place
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3.25Stanford University3.3025.4%1st Place
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9.92University of Hawaii1.052.5%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University2.108.0%1st Place
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11.09Tufts University0.542.1%1st Place
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8.09Cornell University1.444.2%1st Place
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7.7Northeastern University1.225.0%1st Place
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12.11Connecticut College0.521.3%1st Place
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11.11University of South Florida0.521.7%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College1.716.3%1st Place
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12.76University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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8.47Tulane University1.344.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 21.9% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.4% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 10.6% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 20.3% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.2% |
| bella casaretto | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 31.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.