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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+2.56vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+0.24vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+3.52vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+1.79vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.05+3.44vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34+1.26vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-1.84vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.54+1.63vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.52+0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-2.49vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.33-4.00vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-0.85vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.44-6.22vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Yale University2.4221.1%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.1%1st Place
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3.24Stanford University3.3024.3%1st Place
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7.52Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College1.716.9%1st Place
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9.44University of Hawaii1.053.2%1st Place
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8.26Tulane University1.344.1%1st Place
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6.16Harvard University2.108.5%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University0.542.0%1st Place
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10.71University of South Florida0.522.5%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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8.0Brown University1.334.6%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont-0.131.4%1st Place
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7.78Cornell University1.444.8%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University0.491.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 21.1% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 24.3% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| bella casaretto | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 13.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 35.8% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.