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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+1.48vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+3.27vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+3.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.34vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.33+1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.05+2.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.54+2.74vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71-2.33vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.44-2.25vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.49-0.31vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.34-3.66vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-4.31vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-1.69vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.52-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Stanford University3.3025.9%1st Place
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3.48Yale University2.4222.6%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University2.108.0%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.0%1st Place
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7.8Brown University1.334.9%1st Place
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9.42University of Hawaii1.053.0%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University0.541.7%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College1.716.9%1st Place
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7.75Cornell University1.444.2%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University0.491.8%1st Place
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8.34Tulane University1.343.5%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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12.31University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
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10.73University of South Florida0.521.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.9% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 22.6% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 14.1% |
| bella casaretto | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 38.2% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.