← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.19vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.30+1.23vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.71+3.69vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.54+6.72vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.10+1.25vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.22+1.51vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.33+0.94vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University1.34+0.28vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.42-5.44vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.44-2.23vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont-0.13+1.13vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University0.49-1.18vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island0.99-4.44vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida0.52-3.16vs Predicted
-
15University of Hawaii1.05-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.4%1st Place
-
3.23Stanford University3.3024.3%1st Place
-
6.69Dartmouth College1.717.0%1st Place
-
10.72Tufts University0.541.8%1st Place
-
6.25Harvard University2.109.0%1st Place
-
7.51Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
-
7.94Brown University1.334.7%1st Place
-
8.28Tulane University1.344.2%1st Place
-
3.56Yale University2.4221.1%1st Place
-
7.77Cornell University1.444.0%1st Place
-
12.13University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
-
10.82Roger Williams University0.491.8%1st Place
-
8.56University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
-
10.84University of South Florida0.521.8%1st Place
-
9.5University of Hawaii1.052.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 24.3% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 21.1% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 35.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 14.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 15.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.