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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.18vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.28vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+3.19vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+2.81vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.33+2.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+2.59vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.49+3.65vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.44-0.22vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.34-0.72vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-6.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-3.33vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13+0.26vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.54-2.32vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.05-4.44vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.52-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Stanford University3.3025.7%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.3%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University2.108.5%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College1.716.7%1st Place
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7.81Brown University1.335.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University0.491.9%1st Place
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7.78Cornell University1.445.0%1st Place
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8.28Tulane University1.343.9%1st Place
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3.63Yale University2.4220.6%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University1.224.3%1st Place
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12.26University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
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10.68Tufts University0.542.2%1st Place
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9.56University of Hawaii1.052.5%1st Place
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10.62University of South Florida0.521.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.7% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 14.8% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.6% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 36.9% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 15.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.