Race 6A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Brooke Schmelz 7.7% 8.6% 8.9% 10.2% 10.1% 9.8% 9.4% 7.6% 8.9% 6.7% 4.7% 4.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.1%
bella casaretto 7.4% 7.1% 7.5% 8.5% 8.1% 10.4% 9.9% 8.5% 8.2% 6.8% 7.0% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Vanessa Lahrkamp 23.0% 22.6% 18.1% 13.9% 9.8% 5.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 4.7% 5.2% 6.1% 6.7% 6.6% 7.1% 8.8% 10.0% 7.6% 9.9% 8.2% 6.4% 7.0% 4.2% 1.4%
Cordelia Burn 7.5% 9.5% 10.1% 10.2% 11.2% 9.3% 8.6% 8.6% 6.8% 6.3% 4.6% 3.6% 1.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Heidi Hicks 2.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 4.8% 4.8% 5.9% 6.0% 6.9% 8.4% 10.2% 12.7% 14.5% 13.0%
Eva Ermlich 5.1% 5.1% 6.0% 7.2% 8.1% 7.4% 8.3% 8.5% 9.3% 9.0% 8.8% 7.4% 5.1% 3.3% 1.2%
Carmen Cowles 20.8% 18.9% 14.9% 13.2% 10.7% 8.4% 5.2% 3.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lauren Ehnot 4.8% 5.0% 5.2% 6.5% 6.2% 8.6% 8.2% 9.7% 8.2% 8.3% 8.8% 7.0% 7.4% 4.4% 1.5%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 2.2% 3.6% 4.5% 6.0% 7.5% 10.0% 15.7% 38.0%
Mia Hanes 4.3% 4.3% 5.8% 4.7% 7.0% 7.5% 6.8% 8.2% 9.6% 8.1% 10.4% 8.1% 7.6% 4.4% 3.4%
Katherine McGagh 2.6% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 3.6% 4.8% 5.0% 5.2% 6.1% 7.5% 10.7% 11.9% 15.4% 16.4%
Vivian Bonsager 3.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 4.7% 5.0% 7.2% 6.8% 9.0% 8.3% 8.4% 11.2% 10.1% 10.2% 6.2%
Maisie MacGillivray 1.8% 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 4.9% 5.6% 6.2% 7.2% 8.9% 10.3% 12.0% 15.9% 13.9%
Kytalin Hendrickson 3.5% 4.1% 5.5% 5.8% 6.2% 6.5% 6.2% 8.5% 8.1% 9.8% 7.4% 8.0% 8.9% 7.6% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.