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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64+0.59vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-1.45+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.95-0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-2.03+0.25vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.13-0.60vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-2.19-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Stevens Institute of Technology-3.6459.1%1st Place
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3.46Hamilton College-1.4510.0%1st Place
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2.87University of Rochester-0.9516.5%1st Place
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4.25University of Rochester-2.035.1%1st Place
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4.4Syracuse University-2.134.5%1st Place
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4.43Rochester Institute of Technology-2.194.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Feves | 59.1% | 27.1% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Reid Chapman | 10.0% | 17.8% | 23.0% | 23.8% | 16.3% | 9.2% |
| Asa Guldbrandsen | 16.5% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Will Sexter | 5.1% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 24.6% | 24.9% |
| Antonio Aaron | 4.5% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 24.4% | 30.1% |
| Ryan Massengill | 4.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 24.9% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.