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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.24vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+0.57vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+2.18vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.33+2.75vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+1.52vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.71-0.30vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.05+0.58vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.44-2.25vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-2.33vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.54-1.35vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-0.84vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-3.10vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.52-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Stanford University3.3026.2%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.6%1st Place
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3.57Yale University2.4220.2%1st Place
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6.18Harvard University2.108.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University1.335.3%1st Place
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7.52Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College1.716.8%1st Place
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8.23Tulane University1.343.5%1st Place
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9.58University of Hawaii1.053.1%1st Place
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7.75Cornell University1.445.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island0.993.2%1st Place
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10.65Tufts University0.541.7%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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10.9Roger Williams University0.491.6%1st Place
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10.95University of South Florida0.521.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 26.2% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.2% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| bella casaretto | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 34.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.