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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.01vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.95vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+4.14vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+4.01vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+0.78vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-2.61vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34+0.82vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71-1.92vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.44-1.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.540.00vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.52-1.02vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.49-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-1.66vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.05-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Stanford University3.3026.8%1st Place
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5.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.3%1st Place
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7.14Northeastern University1.225.8%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island0.994.1%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University2.108.1%1st Place
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3.39Yale University2.4221.3%1st Place
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7.82Tulane University1.343.9%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College1.717.6%1st Place
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7.48Cornell University1.444.5%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University0.542.2%1st Place
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9.98University of South Florida0.522.4%1st Place
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10.14Roger Williams University0.491.9%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Hawaii1.053.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 26.8% | 22.5% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 21.3% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| bella casaretto | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 15.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 36.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.