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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.05vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+5.16vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.13+8.28vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+2.24vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.44+2.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-2.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+0.10vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10-3.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.54-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.52-0.91vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.34-4.29vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.49-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.05-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Stanford University3.3026.7%1st Place
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7.16Northeastern University1.224.4%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont-0.131.5%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College1.717.8%1st Place
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7.35Cornell University1.444.7%1st Place
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3.41Yale University2.4222.1%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.108.4%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University0.542.2%1st Place
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10.09University of South Florida0.522.1%1st Place
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7.71Tulane University1.344.5%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
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8.8University of Hawaii1.052.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 26.7% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 34.7% |
| bella casaretto | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 22.1% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 14.8% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 15.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 17.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.