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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+7.13vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.47vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+5.57vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27+4.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.54vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+2.35vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.24+0.38vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+0.90vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.48-2.53vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58+0.33vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-1.92vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-3.00vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-7.34vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.22-6.41vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-3.35vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.44Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.33Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.08Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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12.65Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| Haley Powell | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% |
| Mary Hall | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Corey Hall | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Erica Lush | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 24.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.