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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+5.92vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.79+7.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.03vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19+1.19vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+4.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.28vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.60+0.87vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.68-1.03vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.87-2.39vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+0.77vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-3.41vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.35-3.48vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College-0.13+0.16vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.05-1.11vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.66-4.47vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.99-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Harvard University1.907.3%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island0.793.7%1st Place
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4.03Yale University2.7119.1%1st Place
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5.19Stanford University2.1912.6%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University1.183.1%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University1.979.0%1st Place
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7.87University of South Florida1.605.7%1st Place
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6.97Cornell University1.686.5%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College1.878.0%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.9%1st Place
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7.59Brown University1.696.5%1st Place
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8.52Tulane University1.355.2%1st Place
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13.16Connecticut College-0.131.5%1st Place
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12.89University of Vermont-0.051.7%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University0.663.4%1st Place
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9.29University of Hawaii0.994.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.1% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 9.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 18.6% | 34.8% |
| Ella Towner | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 32.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.