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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+4.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+4.81vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+3.22vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71-0.02vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.35+3.35vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.60vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.79+1.70vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+0.27vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.60-2.48vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.05+1.51vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.68-5.05vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.69-5.54vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.99-5.03vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.66-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Stanford University2.1913.2%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University1.908.0%1st Place
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6.22Roger Williams University1.978.3%1st Place
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3.98Yale University2.7120.7%1st Place
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8.35Tulane University1.355.2%1st Place
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10.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.4%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College1.878.6%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island0.792.4%1st Place
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9.27Northeastern University1.182.9%1st Place
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7.52University of South Florida1.606.4%1st Place
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12.51University of Vermont-0.051.1%1st Place
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6.95Cornell University1.687.8%1st Place
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7.46Brown University1.696.4%1st Place
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8.97University of Hawaii0.994.0%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University0.662.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.7% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 15.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Ella Towner | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 43.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 4.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.