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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+6.47vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.24+6.47vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+5.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+3.51vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+4.48vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+1.75vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+1.60vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.22+0.44vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.44vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92-0.32vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.48-3.24vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-0.83vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.33-4.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-7.36vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-4.93vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-3.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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8.39Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.51Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.44College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.56University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.68Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.17Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.25Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.07Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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12.71Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Corey Hall | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Haley Powell | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Mary Hall | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
| Erica Lush | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 25.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.