← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.35+7.36vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.71+1.93vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University1.90+3.74vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.87+2.46vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University0.66+5.06vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.60+1.66vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.18+2.41vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+2.51vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii0.99+0.01vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.68-3.08vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.19-5.86vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont-0.05+0.41vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.97-6.73vs Predicted
-
14Brown University1.69-6.54vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island0.79-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.36Tulane University1.354.8%1st Place
-
3.93Yale University2.7120.5%1st Place
-
6.74Harvard University1.908.4%1st Place
-
6.46Dartmouth College1.877.8%1st Place
-
10.06Tufts University0.663.0%1st Place
-
7.66University of South Florida1.606.5%1st Place
-
9.41Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
-
10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
-
9.01University of Hawaii0.993.3%1st Place
-
6.92Cornell University1.687.6%1st Place
-
5.14Stanford University2.1912.4%1st Place
-
12.41University of Vermont-0.051.4%1st Place
-
6.27Roger Williams University1.979.2%1st Place
-
7.46Brown University1.696.0%1st Place
-
9.67University of Rhode Island0.792.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.5% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 14.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ella Towner | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 42.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.