Race 4A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Briana Provancha 9.4% 8.2% 8.6% 6.1% 7.4% 7.5% 6.3% 6.9% 6.3% 5.9% 6.2% 4.1% 5.3% 4.9% 3.5% 2.6% 0.8%
Olivia Crane 6.2% 5.6% 7.6% 5.6% 5.9% 7.7% 5.7% 6.4% 6.5% 6.1% 6.1% 7.6% 5.4% 5.8% 5.1% 4.4% 2.3%
Mary Hall 9.7% 10.8% 8.4% 10.0% 7.1% 7.2% 7.8% 6.2% 7.6% 5.1% 5.2% 4.9% 3.0% 3.5% 1.7% 1.1% 0.7%
Sarah Mace 6.7% 7.1% 6.2% 6.1% 5.1% 6.2% 6.1% 6.7% 6.4% 6.5% 6.3% 7.1% 5.1% 7.3% 3.4% 5.0% 2.7%
Corina Radtke 4.0% 5.2% 4.9% 4.4% 5.3% 5.1% 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 6.1% 5.5% 6.7% 7.2% 7.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.9%
Emily Dellenbaugh 7.1% 6.9% 6.8% 6.9% 7.4% 7.3% 7.9% 6.1% 6.7% 6.4% 5.4% 5.4% 6.6% 4.0% 4.3% 3.5% 1.3%
Elizabeth Whipple 6.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.1% 6.7% 7.0% 7.5% 6.4% 6.8% 6.2% 7.5% 7.0% 5.1% 5.0% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4%
Chandler Salisbury 7.2% 6.4% 6.2% 7.7% 6.8% 4.9% 5.2% 7.3% 5.1% 6.8% 5.3% 6.0% 6.7% 5.1% 5.4% 4.6% 3.3%
Claire Dennis 7.3% 6.0% 8.2% 7.4% 8.4% 8.0% 7.7% 7.6% 5.5% 5.2% 5.7% 4.9% 5.7% 5.1% 3.6% 2.3% 1.4%
Kaylee Schwitzer 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 3.5% 4.2% 3.9% 5.3% 4.8% 4.4% 5.7% 6.5% 7.1% 6.2% 8.1% 8.5% 11.1% 12.1%
Abby Featherstone 6.7% 7.0% 5.2% 6.4% 6.1% 5.5% 6.9% 5.6% 6.5% 6.4% 6.1% 5.8% 5.8% 6.6% 6.4% 4.3% 2.7%
Natalie Salk 7.8% 8.1% 7.5% 8.7% 6.6% 7.5% 6.2% 6.5% 7.0% 5.4% 4.8% 5.5% 6.0% 4.1% 4.2% 2.5% 1.6%
Devon Rohde 2.8% 3.1% 2.5% 2.8% 2.2% 3.1% 2.4% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 6.3% 6.4% 6.3% 6.9% 10.7% 13.8% 19.2%
Katii Gullick 4.2% 4.8% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 5.1% 5.7% 4.5% 6.2% 4.8% 5.6% 6.8% 7.1% 7.0% 9.0% 8.4% 5.7%
Corey Hall 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 6.3% 6.6% 5.2% 4.7% 6.4% 5.1% 7.8% 7.3% 5.6% 6.5% 6.1% 5.3% 4.6% 2.8%
Haley Powell 4.0% 3.4% 4.0% 5.4% 5.4% 5.6% 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 6.9% 5.7% 5.3% 7.5% 6.7% 8.0% 7.0% 7.0%
Erica Lush 1.2% 2.0% 3.5% 1.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 4.1% 5.0% 4.5% 3.8% 4.5% 6.6% 9.3% 13.8% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.