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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.86vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+3.66vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+4.52vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+5.38vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27+1.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45-0.43vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-1.79vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-0.98vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.22-3.41vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-2.78vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.33-5.66vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.50-7.56vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.24-7.41vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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11.38Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.39Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.21University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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10.22Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.34Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.44Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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12.65Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Mary Hall | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 19.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Haley Powell | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Corey Hall | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Crane | 5.4% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Erica Lush | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.