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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.35+7.19vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+4.29vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19+2.04vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71+0.02vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+4.48vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+1.42vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90-0.37vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.87-1.64vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.60-1.26vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.99-0.95vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.68-4.03vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-1.37vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.79-3.48vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.05-1.61vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.66-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Tulane University1.355.9%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University1.978.0%1st Place
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5.04Stanford University2.1912.3%1st Place
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4.02Yale University2.7119.3%1st Place
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9.48Northeastern University1.183.4%1st Place
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7.42Brown University1.696.2%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University1.908.2%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College1.879.2%1st Place
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7.74University of South Florida1.605.6%1st Place
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9.05University of Hawaii0.994.2%1st Place
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6.97Cornell University1.687.1%1st Place
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10.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.7%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island0.793.8%1st Place
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12.39University of Vermont-0.051.4%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University0.662.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakley Cunningham | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.3% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.3% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 15.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% |
| Ella Towner | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 41.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.