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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+2.61vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+3.55vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.46+3.31vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.73-0.80vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.12+2.18vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.45+0.29vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.19+1.14vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.79-2.68vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-0.33-0.41vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.42-1.24vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.55-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.58-2.83vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.02vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-2.46-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Jacksonville University1.5521.9%1st Place
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5.55Jacksonville University0.949.3%1st Place
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6.31University of South Florida0.467.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Miami1.7325.3%1st Place
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7.18Florida State University0.125.3%1st Place
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6.29University of South Florida0.457.0%1st Place
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8.14Eckerd College-0.193.2%1st Place
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5.32Rollins College0.799.4%1st Place
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8.59Jacksonville University-0.333.3%1st Place
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8.76Rollins College-0.422.1%1st Place
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9.12Florida Institute of Technology-0.552.2%1st Place
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9.17University of South Florida-0.582.4%1st Place
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10.98Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.9%1st Place
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12.77Embry-Riddle University-2.460.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Tella | 21.9% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Darby Smith | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Zach O'connor | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Black | 25.3% | 20.8% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Eckert | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Anderson Osinski | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Noah Belson | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Samantha Covell | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 4.0% |
| Esme Pray | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 28.5% | 16.9% |
| Jess Dai | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.