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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.21+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley2.60+5.24vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.98+0.72vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.08+1.97vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.50-0.02vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-1.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.57+3.15vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-1.34vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay2.30-0.83vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+0.14vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-1.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis2.13-3.16vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay1.35-2.03vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.32-0.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.12-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Stanford University4.210.2%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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3.72Stanford University3.980.2%1st Place
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5.97Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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4.98Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.16California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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10.15University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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6.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
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8.17California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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10.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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10.97California State University Monterey Bay1.350.0%1st Place
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13.04California State University Monterey Bay0.320.0%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Davis0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Hatton | 24.9% | 21.3% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Justin Doane | 20.0% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 14.3% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Soper | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Erik Lund | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 3.3% |
| Mickail Murawski | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Kellsy Panno | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 7.5% |
| Janet Rumsey | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 25.1% | 36.7% |
| Christopher Hagerman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 22.3% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.