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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.03+1.07vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30+3.03vs Predicted
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3Rice University0.94+0.88vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Tennessee0.67-0.71vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.78+0.72vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.08-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of Texas1.01-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Tulane University2.0343.9%1st Place
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5.03Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.306.5%1st Place
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3.88Rice University0.9412.1%1st Place
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4.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.358.6%1st Place
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4.29University of Tennessee0.679.8%1st Place
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6.72Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.782.1%1st Place
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5.27Texas A&M University0.086.4%1st Place
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4.08University of Texas1.0110.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eliza Corral | 43.9% | 27.3% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Nicholas Carew | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 11.9% |
Joe Slipper | 12.1% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
Robert Bloomfield | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 8.2% |
Jack Riley | 9.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
Grace Mamaloukas | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 52.5% |
Cole Gourley | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 21.6% | 14.6% |
Matias Martin | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.