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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+4.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+2.10vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.69+2.91vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.17+3.09vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.10-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+0.71vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.12+0.83vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.41+1.19vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.87-0.75vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+0.25vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-0.61vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University0.08-0.63vs Predicted
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13Auburn University0.12-2.14vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.46-0.83vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-1.80+1.53vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.06-4.25vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-1.67-0.95vs Predicted
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18The Citadel0.19-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Miami2.3211.9%1st Place
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4.1College of Charleston2.4917.5%1st Place
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5.91Florida State University1.6910.1%1st Place
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7.09Eckerd College1.176.8%1st Place
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4.87Jacksonville University2.1014.3%1st Place
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6.71University of South Florida1.607.5%1st Place
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7.83North Carolina State University1.125.3%1st Place
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9.19Rollins College0.413.9%1st Place
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8.25Clemson University0.875.7%1st Place
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10.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.343.0%1st Place
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10.39Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.0%1st Place
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11.37Wake Forest University0.082.6%1st Place
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10.86Auburn University0.122.7%1st Place
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13.17University of North Carolina-0.461.1%1st Place
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16.53University of South Carolina-1.800.2%1st Place
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11.75Duke University0.062.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Central Florida-1.670.4%1st Place
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11.3The Citadel0.191.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Atlee Kohl | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Noah Zittrer | 17.5% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Peter Foley | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jordan Vieira | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Owen Bannasch | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kay Brunsvold | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Benjamin Usher | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Hilton Kamps | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Mitchell Hnatt | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Andrew Simpson | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
Dawson Kohl | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Johnny Perkins | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
Bridget Monahan | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
May Proctor | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 5.5% |
Tyler Williams | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 26.0% | 49.2% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 28.5% | 39.1% |
Kenneth Buck | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.