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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.42+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound1.30-0.39vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.02-2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon1.84-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Washington0.420.1%1st Place
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2.61University of Puget Sound1.300.2%1st Place
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1.96Western Washington University2.020.4%1st Place
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2.09University of Oregon1.840.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Boyer | 8.0% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 61.7% |
| Colin Thompson | 18.9% | 21.8% | 38.3% | 21.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 39.2% | 33.1% | 20.4% | 7.3% |
| Craig Emmes | 33.9% | 33.0% | 23.1% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.