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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+7.14vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+6.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+5.88vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.24+3.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+1.90vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.48+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29+0.15vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50-1.34vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.21+2.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.30vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-3.42vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-1.63vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.22-5.21vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-5.32vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-5.92vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.11Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.9Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.15University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.56Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.37Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.08Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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12.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Haley Powell | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Erica Lush | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 23.6% |
| Mary Hall | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.3% |
| Corey Hall | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.