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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+4.81vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+4.58vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+6.60vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.19+0.01vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.68+1.01vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.53vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.99+0.09vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-3.78vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.35-2.68vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.82vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.79-3.49vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.66-3.56vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.05-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Yale University2.7118.9%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University1.907.7%1st Place
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7.58University of South Florida1.605.7%1st Place
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10.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.4%1st Place
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5.01Stanford University2.1913.8%1st Place
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7.01Cornell University1.687.8%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College1.878.6%1st Place
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7.23Brown University1.696.2%1st Place
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9.09University of Hawaii0.994.1%1st Place
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6.22Roger Williams University1.979.4%1st Place
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8.32Tulane University1.355.0%1st Place
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9.18Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island0.793.2%1st Place
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10.44Tufts University0.662.4%1st Place
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12.49University of Vermont-0.051.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.9% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 15.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% |
| Ella Towner | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.