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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.87+5.37vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.11vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.68+3.93vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+3.32vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60+2.70vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.66+3.10vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.05+3.47vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.19-4.95vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.79-1.32vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.90-5.23vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.35-4.63vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.99-4.96vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Dartmouth College1.877.8%1st Place
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4.11Yale University2.7119.2%1st Place
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6.93Cornell University1.688.2%1st Place
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7.32Brown University1.696.2%1st Place
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7.7University of South Florida1.605.8%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University1.979.0%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University0.664.0%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.5%1st Place
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12.47University of Vermont-0.051.1%1st Place
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5.05Stanford University2.1913.8%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island0.792.6%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University1.907.6%1st Place
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8.37Tulane University1.355.2%1st Place
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9.04University of Hawaii0.994.0%1st Place
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9.48Northeastern University1.183.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.2% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 12.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 15.0% |
| Ella Towner | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 41.9% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.