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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.60+6.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.58vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.90+3.78vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.35+4.26vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.99+3.99vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.68+0.91vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97-0.72vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-0.71vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.79-0.51vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.87-4.63vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.05+0.37vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.19-7.92vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-3.66vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.66-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57University of South Florida1.606.3%1st Place
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4.58Yale University2.5516.1%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University1.907.4%1st Place
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8.26Tulane University1.355.2%1st Place
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8.99University of Hawaii0.994.7%1st Place
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6.91Cornell University1.688.0%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University1.979.2%1st Place
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7.29Brown University1.697.3%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University1.183.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island0.793.2%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College1.879.4%1st Place
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12.37University of Vermont-0.051.2%1st Place
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5.08Stanford University2.1913.5%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.5%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University0.662.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.1% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 6.9% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Ella Towner | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 42.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 14.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.