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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.29vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+5.90vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+5.19vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.24+4.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.16vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22+2.55vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+1.40vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+1.32vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+0.85vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.58+0.82vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.45-3.26vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-4.57vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-5.63vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.21-1.61vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.29-6.86vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.12-0.85vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.9Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.19Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.55College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.82Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.37Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.39Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.14University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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15.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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9.9Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Corey Hall | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Haley Powell | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 6.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Erica Lush | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 15.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Ellen Kintz | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 59.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.