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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.65vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+5.66vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19+2.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+2.26vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+2.48vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+3.36vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.35+1.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.66+2.05vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90-2.28vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.87-3.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.79-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.99-3.11vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.68-6.06vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-3.50vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.05-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Yale University2.5517.2%1st Place
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7.66University of South Florida1.606.0%1st Place
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5.11Stanford University2.1913.4%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University1.978.6%1st Place
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7.48Brown University1.696.2%1st Place
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9.36Northeastern University1.182.6%1st Place
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8.11Tulane University1.355.0%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University0.663.0%1st Place
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6.72Harvard University1.908.2%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College1.879.2%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island0.793.7%1st Place
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8.89University of Hawaii0.994.6%1st Place
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6.94Cornell University1.687.9%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
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12.39University of Vermont-0.051.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.2% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 14.6% |
| Ella Towner | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.