← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.40vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.48+5.44vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.87+6.96vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.48+3.61vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont3.24+3.34vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.27+2.54vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.83-0.80vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.92+1.52vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.58+2.24vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.45-2.43vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College3.33-2.68vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida3.29-3.72vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-3.18vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston3.22-5.33vs Predicted
-
15Yale University3.50-7.57vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.21-3.60vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.12-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.4U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.44Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.96Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
7.61Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.34University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
-
8.54Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.2Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
9.52Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
11.24Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.57Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.32Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.28University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
-
8.67College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
-
7.43Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
12.4Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
15.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 7.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Corey Hall | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Erica Lush | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 20.5% | 12.9% |
| Ellen Kintz | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.