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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+5.35vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+4.82vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+2.27vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.19-0.04vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.28vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90-0.29vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.68-1.18vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+0.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.66+0.30vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.35-2.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.05+0.41vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-2.50vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.99-4.98vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.79-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Yale University2.5515.3%1st Place
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7.35Brown University1.696.1%1st Place
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7.82University of South Florida1.605.9%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College1.879.4%1st Place
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4.96Stanford University2.1914.4%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University1.979.3%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University1.908.4%1st Place
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6.82Cornell University1.688.1%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University0.663.0%1st Place
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8.32Tulane University1.354.3%1st Place
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12.41University of Vermont-0.051.2%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.5%1st Place
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9.02University of Hawaii0.994.3%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island0.794.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 14.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Ella Towner | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 41.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 14.3% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 5.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.