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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.33+7.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+5.59vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+5.52vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+3.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.54vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+5.49vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29+0.37vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+1.08vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87+0.06vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.22-2.07vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.50-4.39vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-6.58vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.92-3.85vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.24-6.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.83vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.52Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.37University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.93College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.61Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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12.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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12.7Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Mary Hall | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| Corey Hall | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Haley Powell | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% |
| Olivia Crane | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 19.4% |
| Erica Lush | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.