← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.55+3.64vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.18+7.21vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.87+3.18vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.19+1.07vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.60+2.58vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.40vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.97-0.81vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.69-0.72vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.68-1.92vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island0.79-0.46vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University1.90-4.26vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.66-1.77vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont-0.05-0.65vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University1.35-5.58vs Predicted
-
15University of Hawaii0.99-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.64Yale University2.5516.0%1st Place
-
9.21Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
-
6.18Dartmouth College1.879.8%1st Place
-
5.07Stanford University2.1912.8%1st Place
-
7.58University of South Florida1.606.8%1st Place
-
10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.2%1st Place
-
6.19Roger Williams University1.979.4%1st Place
-
7.28Brown University1.696.9%1st Place
-
7.08Cornell University1.687.0%1st Place
-
9.54University of Rhode Island0.793.8%1st Place
-
6.74Harvard University1.908.5%1st Place
-
10.23Tufts University0.662.5%1st Place
-
12.35University of Vermont-0.051.0%1st Place
-
8.42Tulane University1.354.7%1st Place
-
9.1University of Hawaii0.994.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 12.8% |
| Ella Towner | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 42.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.