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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.70vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19+2.16vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60+3.68vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.68+2.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.30vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90-0.19vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+1.39vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69-1.53vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+0.61vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-3.98vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.66-1.77vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.99-3.97vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.05-1.57vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.79-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Yale University2.5515.7%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College1.878.8%1st Place
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5.16Stanford University2.1911.9%1st Place
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7.68University of South Florida1.606.2%1st Place
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7.02Cornell University1.686.2%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University1.9710.2%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University1.908.2%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University1.183.3%1st Place
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7.47Brown University1.697.8%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.9%1st Place
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7.02Tulane University1.737.1%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University0.663.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Hawaii0.994.5%1st Place
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12.43University of Vermont-0.051.2%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island0.792.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.9% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Ella Towner | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 41.6% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.