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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+7.39vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+4.27vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+7.15vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+4.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.84vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+1.91vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.22+1.74vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.27+0.37vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+2.53vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.45-2.27vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-2.33vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-2.12vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-2.84vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.50-6.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.74-8.28vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.48-8.25vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.15Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.37Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.74College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.37Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.53Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.73Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.67University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.16Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.79Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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12.72Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 19.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Corey Hall | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Haley Powell | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Mary Hall | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Erica Lush | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.