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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+5.78vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99+6.03vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.87+2.33vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+1.95vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+1.42vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.55-2.34vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.68-0.99vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+1.51vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.66+0.29vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-4.73vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.71vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.73-5.87vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.79-4.40vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.05-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Stanford University2.1912.3%1st Place
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7.78University of South Florida1.605.9%1st Place
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9.03University of Hawaii0.993.2%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College1.879.5%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University1.907.7%1st Place
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7.42Brown University1.696.9%1st Place
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4.66Yale University2.5516.2%1st Place
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7.01Cornell University1.687.6%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.4%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University0.662.5%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University1.978.8%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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7.13Tulane University1.737.4%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island0.794.2%1st Place
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12.57University of Vermont-0.051.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 14.8% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 11.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.8% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 8.9% |
| Ella Towner | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.