Race 14A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Sarah Mace 7.0% 6.6% 7.6% 6.0% 6.0% 5.9% 5.6% 5.9% 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 6.6% 6.2% 5.3% 6.3% 3.1% 1.9%
Deirdre Lambert 11.1% 10.3% 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 7.7% 7.4% 7.2% 6.6% 4.9% 5.2% 4.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Elizabeth Whipple 6.6% 5.6% 6.8% 7.8% 6.3% 6.9% 4.9% 6.5% 5.2% 8.0% 5.5% 6.6% 7.5% 4.7% 4.9% 3.9% 2.3%
Briana Provancha 7.9% 8.1% 6.2% 6.5% 7.4% 6.7% 5.4% 7.2% 7.8% 7.0% 6.3% 5.2% 5.2% 4.4% 4.2% 2.8% 1.7%
Mary Hall 9.6% 11.1% 9.9% 8.6% 8.0% 7.5% 6.9% 6.0% 6.1% 5.4% 5.6% 3.4% 3.6% 3.2% 3.1% 1.3% 0.7%
Natalie Salk 7.4% 6.2% 6.5% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 6.5% 6.5% 8.1% 5.6% 5.6% 5.0% 6.2% 5.9% 4.1% 3.0% 0.9%
Claire Dennis 7.5% 7.2% 6.7% 6.2% 8.2% 6.9% 8.0% 7.0% 8.0% 7.4% 5.4% 5.5% 4.8% 3.9% 3.6% 3.1% 0.6%
Haley Powell 5.1% 3.9% 6.1% 5.3% 4.9% 4.7% 5.6% 5.0% 4.6% 5.5% 6.0% 7.4% 6.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.9% 6.8%
Corina Radtke 2.7% 4.6% 3.7% 4.3% 3.8% 5.3% 4.9% 4.2% 5.4% 6.9% 6.4% 8.2% 6.7% 7.6% 8.2% 9.6% 7.5%
Emily Dellenbaugh 7.1% 7.7% 6.5% 9.0% 6.1% 7.3% 7.7% 7.1% 5.5% 6.0% 7.0% 5.8% 4.0% 4.7% 3.9% 3.0% 1.6%
Katii Gullick 5.1% 4.7% 3.9% 3.8% 5.0% 4.3% 6.3% 5.4% 5.3% 4.7% 6.7% 6.5% 6.3% 8.5% 8.2% 8.9% 6.4%
Abby Featherstone 5.8% 6.0% 7.5% 6.8% 6.3% 5.7% 5.6% 6.8% 6.4% 5.7% 6.1% 6.5% 7.5% 5.4% 5.0% 4.3% 2.6%
Olivia Crane 6.6% 5.6% 4.4% 4.5% 6.0% 6.7% 7.6% 6.4% 6.2% 7.9% 5.4% 6.3% 7.0% 5.5% 5.8% 4.6% 3.5%
Devon Rohde 1.6% 2.3% 3.2% 2.8% 2.7% 3.9% 3.2% 3.9% 3.3% 3.5% 5.0% 5.7% 6.1% 9.8% 9.7% 13.2% 20.1%
Kaylee Schwitzer 2.5% 4.0% 3.4% 3.8% 3.9% 2.7% 4.7% 3.8% 5.7% 4.4% 4.9% 5.9% 7.3% 8.5% 9.2% 12.4% 12.9%
Corey Hall 5.0% 4.6% 6.2% 5.7% 5.6% 7.1% 6.9% 8.1% 5.6% 6.2% 7.1% 5.9% 6.0% 6.5% 6.3% 3.9% 3.3%
Erica Lush 1.4% 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 3.2% 2.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 4.1% 5.0% 5.1% 6.1% 6.3% 8.8% 14.0% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.