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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.34+5.70vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.07+5.70vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.07+1.80vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.31+2.99vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.86+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.51+3.60vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.17-2.56vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.17+3.52vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.18-1.49vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-1.34vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.55-4.47vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.76+0.82vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.45-6.49vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.51-4.25vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Tulane University1.347.3%1st Place
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7.7University of South Florida1.076.2%1st Place
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4.8Stanford University2.0714.3%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University1.316.8%1st Place
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5.63Yale University1.8611.3%1st Place
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9.6University of Hawaii0.513.5%1st Place
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4.44Harvard University2.1716.2%1st Place
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11.52Northeastern University-0.171.7%1st Place
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7.51Cornell University1.186.3%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.5%1st Place
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6.53Brown University1.557.8%1st Place
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12.82University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
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6.51Dartmouth College1.458.2%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University0.513.2%1st Place
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10.84University of Rhode Island0.121.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.3% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 5.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 22.9% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Emma Wang | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 45.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Annecy Kagan | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.