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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+7.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+7.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+6.83vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+3.93vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+2.48vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.21+6.86vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.48+0.70vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-0.46vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+2.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.40vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-0.65vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-3.48vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.22-4.13vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.27-5.32vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.33-6.73vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.83-9.61vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.86Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.52Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.35Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.52University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.68Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Haley Powell | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Erica Lush | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 25.9% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.6% |
| Mary Hall | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Corey Hall | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.