Race 1 - nwicsa-coed-quals | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.5

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Glen Stellmacher & Haley Lane

University of Washington

2.87

+0.70

vs Predicted
2

Andrew Nelson & Meghan McDonald

Western Washington University

1.49

+0.79

vs Predicted
4

David Eva & Laura Yonamine

University of Puget Sound

0.36

-0.43

vs Predicted
6

Philip Gordon & Hannah Darrow

University of Oregon

2.51

-4.06

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.7

Glen Stellmacher & Haley Lane

University of Washington

2.87

0.5%

1st Place
2.79

Andrew Nelson & Meghan McDonald

Western Washington University

1.49

0.1%

1st Place
3.57

David Eva & Laura Yonamine

University of Puget Sound

0.36

0.0%

1st Place
1.94

Philip Gordon & Hannah Darrow

University of Oregon

2.51

0.3%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Glen Stellmacher	48.9%	34.3%	14.3%	2.5%
Andrew Nelson	11.9%	18.4%	48.4%	21.3%
David Eva	4.5%	7.2%	15.4%	72.9%
Philip Gordon	34.7%	40.1%	21.9%	3.3%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.