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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+4.42vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.69+3.91vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+3.68vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.12+3.80vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.10-0.03vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.49-1.89vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.17+0.07vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.41+1.21vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.87-0.82vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.19+1.22vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34-0.63vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-1.70vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.08-1.78vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.46-0.72vs Predicted
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15Duke University0.06-3.35vs Predicted
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16Auburn University0.12-4.94vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina-1.80-0.53vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-1.67-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42University of Miami2.3212.0%1st Place
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5.91Florida State University1.699.8%1st Place
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6.68University of South Florida1.608.8%1st Place
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7.8North Carolina State University1.124.7%1st Place
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4.97Jacksonville University2.1014.8%1st Place
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4.11College of Charleston2.4918.4%1st Place
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7.07Eckerd College1.176.9%1st Place
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9.21Rollins College0.413.2%1st Place
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8.18Clemson University0.875.1%1st Place
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11.22The Citadel0.192.3%1st Place
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10.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.342.9%1st Place
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10.3Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.6%1st Place
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11.22Wake Forest University0.082.1%1st Place
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13.28University of North Carolina-0.461.0%1st Place
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11.65Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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11.06Auburn University0.122.9%1st Place
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16.47University of South Carolina-1.800.2%1st Place
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16.07University of Central Florida-1.670.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 14.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 18.4% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Simpson | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| May Proctor | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 14.4% | 6.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 26.5% | 47.8% |
| Rain Hong | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 29.6% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.