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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.86+4.74vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+2.44vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.07+1.72vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.34+2.58vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.17+6.92vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.51+3.42vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.76+5.75vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.45-1.61vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.18-1.54vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.31-2.99vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12-0.20vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.07-4.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.51-4.37vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.55-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Yale University1.8610.6%1st Place
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4.44Harvard University2.1717.8%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University2.0713.9%1st Place
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6.58Tulane University1.348.3%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University-0.172.1%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University0.513.1%1st Place
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12.75University of Vermont-0.761.2%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College1.457.4%1st Place
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7.46Cornell University1.186.3%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University1.318.2%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
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7.87University of South Florida1.075.1%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.8%1st Place
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9.63University of Hawaii0.512.6%1st Place
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6.55Brown University1.557.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 17.8% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.9% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 25.8% |
| Annecy Kagan | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 4.8% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 43.5% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 11.9% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Emma Wang | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 6.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.