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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.64vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+3.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+3.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.61vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22+2.88vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27+1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.24+0.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.26vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.58+1.20vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-0.90vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-1.81vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-5.27vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.29-5.36vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.33-6.70vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-3.27vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.61Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.59Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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12.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.2Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.19Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.73Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.3Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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12.73Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Corey Hall | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 21.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% |
| Haley Powell | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Erica Lush | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 15.4% | 25.0% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.