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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+3.52vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.31+4.96vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34+3.67vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.07+3.99vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+3.76vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.07-1.30vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.45-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.51+1.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.51+0.52vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.86-4.39vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.18-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.76+0.89vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.55-6.65vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-3.23vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.17-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Harvard University2.1716.0%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University1.317.4%1st Place
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6.67Tulane University1.347.3%1st Place
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7.99University of South Florida1.074.5%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.1%1st Place
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4.7Stanford University2.0715.2%1st Place
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6.5Dartmouth College1.457.5%1st Place
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9.61University of Hawaii0.512.6%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University0.513.2%1st Place
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5.61Yale University1.8610.9%1st Place
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7.43Cornell University1.186.4%1st Place
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12.89University of Vermont-0.761.1%1st Place
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6.35Brown University1.558.7%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island0.122.5%1st Place
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11.71Northeastern University-0.171.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Spearman | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Emma Wang | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Ellie Harned | 15.2% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Annecy Kagan | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 46.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 12.7% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 21.6% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.