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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+7.75vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.07+2.70vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+1.48vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.18+3.49vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.34+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.07+1.85vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.31-0.07vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.45-1.44vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.86-3.23vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.51-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12-0.11vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.55-5.50vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.51-3.33vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.17-2.27vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.76-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.8%1st Place
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4.7Stanford University2.0714.0%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University2.1715.9%1st Place
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7.49Cornell University1.186.8%1st Place
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6.58Tulane University1.348.2%1st Place
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7.85University of South Florida1.075.0%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University1.318.0%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College1.458.4%1st Place
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5.77Yale University1.8610.7%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University0.513.4%1st Place
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10.89University of Rhode Island0.121.9%1st Place
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6.5Brown University1.557.8%1st Place
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9.67University of Hawaii0.513.2%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University-0.171.7%1st Place
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12.78University of Vermont-0.761.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Wang | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Annecy Kagan | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 5.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 12.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 23.1% | 23.9% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.