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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+5.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.67vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+5.84vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51+6.37vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+2.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+3.54vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29+0.09vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23-0.80vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.80+0.30vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09+1.88vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-1.85vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.40-1.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.50vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.98-5.49vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-7.46vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.98vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.29-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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10.37Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.54Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.09Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.2Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.3University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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11.88Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.15Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.72Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.24Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Emily Billing | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Molly McKinney | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 18.9% |
| Sky Adams | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.