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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.34+5.62vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+2.50vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.07+4.81vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.51+5.52vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+3.78vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55+0.51vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.18+0.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.31-0.92vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.07-4.32vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.45-3.37vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.86-5.51vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.51-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.76-0.27vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.17-2.15vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Tulane University1.346.9%1st Place
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4.5Harvard University2.1716.4%1st Place
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7.81University of South Florida1.075.7%1st Place
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9.52University of Hawaii0.513.2%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.8%1st Place
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6.51Brown University1.557.4%1st Place
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7.42Cornell University1.186.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University1.316.6%1st Place
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4.68Stanford University2.0714.8%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College1.457.4%1st Place
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5.49Yale University1.8612.7%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University0.513.1%1st Place
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12.73University of Vermont-0.761.3%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University-0.171.2%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island0.122.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Emma Wang | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annecy Kagan | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 5.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 44.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 21.3% | 24.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.