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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.86+7.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+6.92vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.51+7.23vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.12vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+1.13vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.80+2.09vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98+0.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09+1.86vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.23-3.49vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-4.83vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.49vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-4.48vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.40-4.31vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-8.45vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.29-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.92Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.13Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.09University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.86Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.51Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.17Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.52Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Arntsen | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Sky Adams | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 18.9% |
| Molly McKinney | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Emily Billing | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.