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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.07+3.66vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.34+4.50vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.18+4.50vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+0.53vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.86+0.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.07+0.79vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+0.61vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.31-1.91vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.51-0.44vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.45-4.40vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.12-1.26vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.17-1.36vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.51-4.30vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.76-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Stanford University2.0715.0%1st Place
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6.5Tulane University1.348.1%1st Place
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7.5Cornell University1.185.7%1st Place
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4.53Harvard University2.1715.6%1st Place
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5.62Yale University1.8610.7%1st Place
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6.6Brown University1.558.2%1st Place
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7.79University of South Florida1.075.8%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.7%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University1.317.6%1st Place
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9.56University of Hawaii0.513.4%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College1.458.4%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
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11.64Northeastern University-0.171.8%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University0.512.2%1st Place
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12.84University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 15.0% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Pilar Cundey | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Emma Wang | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 11.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 21.8% | 22.9% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.