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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+6.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+6.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+7.32vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.86+4.92vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+1.95vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.51+4.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+1.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.81vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+2.41vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.20-2.62vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.51-4.56vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.40-1.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.08vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.09-1.93vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.80-5.95vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.74-6.61vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.93Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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6.95Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.47Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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11.41Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.38College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.71Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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12.07Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.05University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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9.39Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Emily Billing | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 16.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 21.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.