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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+6.15vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+5.52vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+4.48vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51+6.35vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+2.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.12vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74+0.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.98-1.74vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29+0.34vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.96vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.82-3.88vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.80-4.80vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.40-4.22vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.51-9.70vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.09-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.35Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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6.96Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.58Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.12Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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10.78Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.3Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.98Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
| Emily Billing | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.1% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 15.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.