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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+3.53vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+6.44vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.07+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.51+5.53vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.07+2.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.51+3.60vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.12+3.81vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.86-2.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.55-2.44vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.34-3.35vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.18-3.47vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.17-0.24vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.76-0.11vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.45-7.45vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.31-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Harvard University2.1715.8%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.0%1st Place
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4.76Stanford University2.0715.2%1st Place
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9.53University of Hawaii0.514.0%1st Place
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7.75University of South Florida1.075.9%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University0.513.5%1st Place
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10.81University of Rhode Island0.122.0%1st Place
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5.6Yale University1.869.9%1st Place
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6.56Brown University1.557.4%1st Place
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6.65Tulane University1.347.8%1st Place
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7.53Cornell University1.185.7%1st Place
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11.76Northeastern University-0.171.6%1st Place
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12.89University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College1.459.1%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University1.316.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Annecy Kagan | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 6.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 12.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Spearman | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Pilar Cundey | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 22.0% | 22.7% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 17.6% | 45.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.