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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+3.54vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.45+4.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.86+2.66vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.34+2.60vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.51+4.40vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.31+0.95vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.55-0.39vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+0.57vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.07-4.38vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.51-0.42vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.07-3.17vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.17-0.08vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-2.19vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.76-1.19vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.18-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Harvard University2.1714.3%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College1.457.5%1st Place
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5.66Yale University1.8610.9%1st Place
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6.6Tulane University1.347.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Hawaii0.513.2%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University1.318.2%1st Place
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6.61Brown University1.558.9%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.9%1st Place
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4.62Stanford University2.0714.7%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University0.513.1%1st Place
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7.83University of South Florida1.075.5%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University-0.171.4%1st Place
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10.81University of Rhode Island0.122.2%1st Place
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12.81University of Vermont-0.761.1%1st Place
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7.53Cornell University1.186.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.3% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Spearman | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Wang | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Annecy Kagan | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 24.1% | 23.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 18.0% | 44.9% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.