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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+3.52vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.07+2.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+4.01vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.18+3.36vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+3.70vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.86-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.51+2.58vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.76+4.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.12+1.66vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.55-3.48vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.34-4.37vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.51-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.07-5.06vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.45-7.47vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.17-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Harvard University2.1714.9%1st Place
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4.63Stanford University2.0715.3%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University1.318.0%1st Place
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7.36Cornell University1.186.2%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.4%1st Place
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5.72Yale University1.8610.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Hawaii0.513.2%1st Place
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12.88University of Vermont-0.761.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Rhode Island0.122.4%1st Place
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6.52Brown University1.558.6%1st Place
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6.63Tulane University1.348.4%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University0.513.4%1st Place
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7.94University of South Florida1.075.0%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College1.457.4%1st Place
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11.66Northeastern University-0.171.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.9% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Emma Wang | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 19.1% | 45.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 12.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Annecy Kagan | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.