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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.86+7.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+6.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+4.44vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.80+3.81vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+1.74vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.40+3.76vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98+0.23vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-1.74vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09+1.84vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.73vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.23-4.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.14vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-4.48vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-3.81vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.51-5.63vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.93Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.44College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.81University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.76Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.26Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.84Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.39Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.52Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.19Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.37Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Sky Adams | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Emily Billing | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 18.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 15.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.