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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+6.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+8.41vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+5.48vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.51vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+2.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.04vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09+5.01vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-1.69vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+1.67vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-1.06vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86-1.87vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-4.31vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.80-3.66vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-4.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.90vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-6.56vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.40-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.51Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.4College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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12.01Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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6.31Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.67Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.94Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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9.6Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.44Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 19.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.