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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.07+3.59vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.34+4.49vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.86+2.75vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+2.53vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.18+2.59vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.45+0.54vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.17-2.38vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.31-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.07-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.51-0.47vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.17+0.81vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-2.16vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.51-4.59vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.76-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Stanford University2.0717.2%1st Place
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6.49Tulane University1.348.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University1.869.7%1st Place
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6.53Brown University1.558.1%1st Place
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7.59Cornell University1.186.3%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College1.457.3%1st Place
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4.62Harvard University2.1715.7%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University1.316.7%1st Place
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7.72University of South Florida1.075.3%1st Place
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9.53University of Hawaii0.513.7%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University-0.171.5%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.3%1st Place
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10.84University of Rhode Island0.122.0%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University0.513.4%1st Place
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13.0University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 17.2% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Drulard | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 22.2% | 23.9% |
| Emma Wang | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 18.4% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.