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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.98+7.30vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+7.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.84vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.21vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+2.40vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+1.63vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-0.65vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+1.23vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+1.66vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-2.93vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.80-1.59vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-0.01vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-3.89vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-2.99vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.75-5.59vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-8.27vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.08Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.4College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.63Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.35Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.66Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.07Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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11.99Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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11.01Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.41Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariel Marchand | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Sky Adams | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% |
| Emily Billing | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 22.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.