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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+7.66vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+2.49vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.18+4.56vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.07+3.88vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.07-0.42vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.34+0.53vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.45-0.47vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.31-0.96vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.86-3.31vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.55-3.55vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.51-1.33vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.51-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-2.27vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.17-2.22vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.76-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.1%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University2.1715.5%1st Place
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7.56Cornell University1.185.1%1st Place
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7.88University of South Florida1.074.8%1st Place
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4.58Stanford University2.0716.8%1st Place
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6.53Tulane University1.348.8%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College1.456.9%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University1.316.7%1st Place
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5.69Yale University1.8610.2%1st Place
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6.45Brown University1.558.3%1st Place
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9.67University of Hawaii0.513.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University0.513.4%1st Place
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10.73University of Rhode Island0.123.0%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University-0.172.4%1st Place
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12.79University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Wang | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Ellie Harned | 16.8% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
| Annecy Kagan | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 12.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 21.1% | 25.7% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.