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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+3.52vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+8.07vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.17+3.20vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.69+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+0.68vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.10-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.34+2.20vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.12-1.20vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.87-1.68vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-0.51vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.46+1.25vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-1.67+3.18vs Predicted
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14Auburn University0.12-2.84vs Predicted
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15Wake Forest University0.08-3.85vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.41-6.99vs Predicted
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17Duke University0.06-5.23vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina-1.80-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17College of Charleston2.4918.5%1st Place
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5.52University of Miami2.3211.2%1st Place
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11.07The Citadel0.192.3%1st Place
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7.2Eckerd College1.177.0%1st Place
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5.82Florida State University1.6910.6%1st Place
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6.68University of South Florida1.608.5%1st Place
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4.78Jacksonville University2.1015.2%1st Place
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10.2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.342.5%1st Place
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7.8North Carolina State University1.125.3%1st Place
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8.32Clemson University0.875.1%1st Place
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10.49Palm Beach Atlantic University0.362.5%1st Place
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13.25University of North Carolina-0.461.0%1st Place
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16.18University of Central Florida-1.670.1%1st Place
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11.16Auburn University0.122.0%1st Place
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11.15Wake Forest University0.082.1%1st Place
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9.01Rollins College0.414.1%1st Place
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11.77Duke University0.061.9%1st Place
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16.43University of South Carolina-1.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 18.5% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Simpson | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| May Proctor | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Rain Hong | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 30.1% | 40.4% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 25.4% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.