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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+7.86vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.34vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23+4.46vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+5.50vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+2.44vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40+5.03vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.86+1.98vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.80+0.98vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+1.65vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-2.46vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-3.50vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-5.73vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.40vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.09-2.98vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.01vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.75-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.46Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.5Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.44College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.98University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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10.65Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.27Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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12.02Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.9% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Emily Billing | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 22.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.