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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+3.00vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.95+1.78vs Predicted
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3American University-0.91+4.26vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-0.24vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.20+0.65vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72-1.90vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.21-0.77vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.94-3.77vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.34-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Christopher Newport University0.7316.6%1st Place
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3.78Rollins College0.9517.6%1st Place
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7.26American University-0.912.7%1st Place
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3.76St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9017.9%1st Place
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5.65Washington College0.207.6%1st Place
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4.1Hampton University0.7214.3%1st Place
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6.23William and Mary-0.215.1%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Naval Academy0.9413.7%1st Place
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5.98University of Virginia-0.344.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Joshua Bendura | 16.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
Milo Miller | 17.6% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
Anika Liner | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 44.5% |
Max Kleha | 17.9% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
Kennedy Jones | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 12.2% |
Stefano Palamara | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
Charlotte Stillman | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 21.3% | 18.6% |
Robert Ziman | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
Maxwell Penders | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.