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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+9.96vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+6.12vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+3.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+3.89vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+1.77vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29+0.18vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+0.18vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.51+0.30vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-1.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-3.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.37vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-2.99vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.80-5.83vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.23-8.54vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.74-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.96Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.89Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.77College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.18Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.59Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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11.01Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.17University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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7.46Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 21.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Sky Adams | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Emily Billing | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.