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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+8.26vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.30vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+4.62vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.54vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+5.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+3.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.53vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.80+1.05vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.98-0.26vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-2.87vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-1.62vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.40-1.10vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-3.85vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-6.20vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.11vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.76vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.29-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.62College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.54Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.05University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.13Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.38Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.9Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 11.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Emily Billing | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Sky Adams | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.