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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+5.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+8.40vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+4.69vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+5.57vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+5.23vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+5.56vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.80+2.22vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20-0.53vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+0.19vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.23-2.70vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-1.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.09vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-5.67vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-2.95vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.71-5.37vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.72vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.98-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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11.56Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.22University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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7.47College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.3Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.34Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.05Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.63Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 16.5% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Sky Adams | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Emily Billing | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.