← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy0.94+3.10vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.73+1.88vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.68vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.95-0.30vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University0.72-0.95vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia-0.34-0.20vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.20-1.42vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-1.00-0.72vs Predicted
-
9American University-0.91-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.1U. S. Naval Academy0.9413.5%1st Place
-
3.88Christopher Newport University0.7317.1%1st Place
-
3.68St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9019.1%1st Place
-
3.7Rollins College0.9517.7%1st Place
-
4.05Hampton University0.7214.5%1st Place
-
5.8University of Virginia-0.345.8%1st Place
-
5.58Washington College0.206.0%1st Place
-
7.28William and Mary-1.002.9%1st Place
-
6.92American University-0.913.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 13.5% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 17.1% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Max Kleha | 19.1% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Milo Miller | 17.7% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Maxwell Penders | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 11.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 9.0% |
| Amelia Levine | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 20.6% | 42.3% |
| Anika Liner | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 24.1% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.