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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+8.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23+5.59vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+4.76vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+5.88vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+2.64vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.51+4.74vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+0.95vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.80+0.62vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.40+0.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.76vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-2.33vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.98-4.20vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.29-2.41vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.29-7.64vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.59Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.76College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.74Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.67Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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11.59Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.36Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 16.3% |
| Emily Billing | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.3% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.