← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.73+2.97vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University0.72+2.12vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy0.94+1.23vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-0.17vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia-0.34+0.97vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.95-2.20vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary-0.21-0.87vs Predicted
-
8Washington College0.20-2.24vs Predicted
-
9American University-0.91-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.97Christopher Newport University0.7316.2%1st Place
-
4.12Hampton University0.7215.2%1st Place
-
4.23U. S. Naval Academy0.9414.3%1st Place
-
3.83St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9017.1%1st Place
-
5.97University of Virginia-0.345.2%1st Place
-
3.8Rollins College0.9516.6%1st Place
-
6.13William and Mary-0.215.9%1st Place
-
5.76Washington College0.206.8%1st Place
-
7.19American University-0.912.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 16.2% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Stefano Palamara | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Robert Ziman | 14.3% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Max Kleha | 17.1% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Maxwell Penders | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| Milo Miller | 16.6% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 13.5% |
| Anika Liner | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.