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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+6.16vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+7.56vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+3.54vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.68vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+3.96vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.64vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+1.07vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71+1.02vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80-0.80vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-3.04vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-3.31vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.40-1.79vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.77vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.51-4.39vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-4.46vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.56Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.68Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.07Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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11.21Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% |
| Sky Adams | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 16.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.