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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.34+4.13vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.84vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+0.14vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.95-1.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.94-1.77vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.20-1.31vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.21-1.93vs Predicted
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9American University-0.91-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Christopher Newport University0.7315.5%1st Place
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6.13University of Virginia-0.344.9%1st Place
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3.84St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9016.7%1st Place
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4.14Hampton University0.7214.3%1st Place
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3.75Rollins College0.9517.5%1st Place
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4.23U. S. Naval Academy0.9414.8%1st Place
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5.69Washington College0.207.6%1st Place
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6.07William and Mary-0.215.5%1st Place
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7.18American University-0.913.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joshua Bendura | 15.5% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
Maxwell Penders | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 17.2% |
Max Kleha | 16.7% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
Stefano Palamara | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
Milo Miller | 17.5% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
Robert Ziman | 14.8% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
Kennedy Jones | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.2% |
Charlotte Stillman | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 17.7% |
Anika Liner | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.