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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+6.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+7.36vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+4.93vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.81vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+5.48vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+2.07vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.71+2.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.51vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.51-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.80-1.26vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-3.24vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.95vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-4.11vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.40-3.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.70vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.75-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.36Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.81Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.92Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.74University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.15Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 12.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Rachel Austin | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 15.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.